{"id":9976,"date":"2016-11-24T15:00:46","date_gmt":"2016-11-24T04:00:46","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/realestatetalk.com.au\/?p=9976"},"modified":"2016-11-24T15:00:46","modified_gmt":"2016-11-24T04:00:46","slug":"brisbane-market-affordable-and-resilient","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/channels.realty.com.au\/realtytalk\/brisbane-market-affordable-and-resilient\/","title":{"rendered":"Brisbane market affordable and resilient &#8211; John McGrath"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp;<br \/>\n<strong>In his column in\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.switzer.com.au\/the-experts\/john-mcgrath-property-expert\/brisbane-market-affordable-and-resilient\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Switzer<\/a>, John McGrath discusses the affordability\u00a0in the\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/propertyupdate.com.au\/whats-ahead-brisbanes-property-market-2016\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Brisbane property market<\/a>.\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<h4>Here&#8217;s what he had to say:<\/h4>\n<p>South-East Queensland continues to offer outstanding opportunity for growth. \u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/realestatetalk.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/08\/mcgrath.jpg\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright size-full wp-image-1807\" alt=\"mcgrath\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/realestatetalk.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/08\/mcgrath.jpg?resize=150%2C143\" width=\"150\" height=\"143\" \/><\/a><br \/>\nHowever, a sluggish economy, political upheaval, low population growth and an impending apartment oversupply is delaying the significant price growth that\u2019s overdue in Brisbane today.<br \/>\nIn our recently released\u00a0<em>2017 McGrath Report<\/em>, we discussed how the end of the mining\u00a0boom has hit Queensland and its capital city hard.<br \/>\nBrisbane is no longer experiencing the strong flow of money that came from regional areas where mining workers earning big salaries were investing in Brisbane real estate, or buying family homes in Brisbane for a\u00a0fly-in fly-out lifestyle.<br \/>\nLatest statistics from the ABS and CoreLogic show Brisbane\u2019s population growth is at its lowest point since 2001*.<br \/>\nContinuously strong economic conditions in New South Wales and Victoria and uninspired state management following the Liberal National Party\u2019s\u00a0removal after one term (and now a minority Labor Government) provides no incentive for big business to set up and expand into Brisbane.<\/p>\n<h4>Brisbane shows resilience<\/h4>\n<p>But through all this, the property market is showing resilience.<br \/>\nAccording to CoreLogic, median property values (for houses and apartments) along the Brisbane to Gold Coast corridor rose by 5.7% to $482,000 in FY2016^, compared to 3.5% growth in FY2015 and 6.7% in FY2014.<br \/>\nDespite all the big picture challenges, the market is currently seen as affordable, safe, steady, reliable and doing well in tough economic conditions.<\/p>\n<h4>The standouts<\/h4>\n<p>As always, some suburbs have exhibited exceptional results.<br \/>\nThose with more than 15% house price growth in FY2016 include Robertson (25.6%), Darra (23.9%), Wilston (20.3%), Chelmer (19%), Banyo (17.2%), New Farm (16.8%), Sandgate (16.8%) and Carina Heights (16.2%)#.<\/p>\n<h4>Apartment oversupply<\/h4>\n<p>In the apartment market, Brisbane is facing an oversupply with a two-year pipeline of 44,511 dwellings to be completed, according to CoreLogic**.<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright\" alt=\"queensland brisbane city water sky QLD map state capital australia\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/puassets.s3.amazonaws.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/queensland-brisbane-city-water-sky-QLD-map-state-capital-australia-300x200.jpg?resize=300%2C200\" width=\"300\" height=\"200\" \/><br \/>\nThis is significant when, ordinarily, about 30,000 apartments would be sold in this timeframe and that includes a combination of old and new.<br \/>\nThe oversupply will be primarily around the city and inner ring areas.<br \/>\n<strong>Investors are increasingly wary of this and some developers have delayed their projects.<\/strong><br \/>\nHowever, it does present an opportunity for owner-occupiers with a long term view.<br \/>\nThe newly boosted First Home Owners\u2019 Grant, up from $15,000 to $20,000 until June 30, 2017 should help young buyers in this market.<br \/>\nOn the Gold Coast, plenty is happening and it\u2019s all positive.<br \/>\nLocals who bought highly discounted properties in prime areas post-GFC have now renovated or re-built and are selling with a view to buying again in a better location.<br \/>\n<strong>They are making money and moving up the ladder through a buy, renovate, sell and repeat strategy.<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright\" alt=\"house\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/puassets.s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/10\/15064808_l-290x300.jpg?resize=273%2C282\" width=\"273\" height=\"282\" \/><\/strong><br \/>\nIn the more affordable suburbs, a huge range of buyers including local upgraders, downsizers, renovators, first home buyers and some Sydney and Melbourne lifestyle\u00a0buyers are targeting up-and-coming areas, particularly on the southern Gold Coast.<br \/>\nBuyers are especially drawn to areas such as Miami, Palm Beach and Tugun where good quality houses that are walking distance to the beach are selling for well below $1 million.<br \/>\nThese suburbs offer exceptional value and opportunities for growth.<br \/>\nA Palm Beach home worth $600,000 is worth $1 million just 9km up the road in Mermaid Beach.<br \/>\nOn the beachfront, Palm Beach buyers are paying $2.5-$3 million, compared to $5-5.5 million in Mermaid Beach.<\/p>\n<h4>Prestige sales<\/h4>\n<p>In the prestige market, there have been very few sales above $10 million since 2009, but this year, six were recorded over the first three quarters alone, reflecting rising confidence particularly among locals.<br \/>\nThe biggest deal was the $25 million sale of a Mermaid Beach mansion in September.<br \/>\nThere was also the $15.5 million sale of a riverfront Isle of Capri residence to Chinese buyers and two other sales in Mermaid Beach for $13.25 million and $11.45 million.<br \/>\n<strong>There was also an $11 million sale on Cronin Island and a $10.9 million sale at Sanctuary Cove.\u00a0<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright\" alt=\"37835969 - brisbane city\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/puassets.s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/07\/37835969_l-300x200.jpg?resize=300%2C200\" width=\"300\" height=\"200\" \/><br \/>\n<\/strong><br \/>\nWe remain very optimistic about the Gold Coast. In the lead-up to the 2018 Commonwealth Games, billions will be spent on infrastructure, and the economy is becoming more diversified with health and education jobs supplementing the more volatile retail, tourism and construction industries.<br \/>\nOn the Sunshine Coast, there\u2019s a lot of demand at the upper end in Noosa and Sunshine Beach.<br \/>\nLocal upgraders and lifestyle buyers from Queensland, Sydney and Melbourne are spending up to $5 million for properties to either occupy now, or use as holiday homes ahead of retirement.<br \/>\n<strong>A new record for beachfront homes on the coast was set in September with a $9.3 million sale at Sunshine Beach.<\/strong><br \/>\n<em>* Melbourne leads population growth, CoreLogic, published April 11, 2016 and Regional Population Growth, Australia 2014-15, Australian Bureau of Statistics, published March 30, 2016<\/em><br \/>\n<em>^ Hedonic Home Value Index, CoreLogic, published July 1, 2016<\/em><br \/>\n<em># CoreLogic; 12 months to June 30, 2016; suburbs with a minimum of 40 sales in the year<\/em><br \/>\n<em>** Record high unit construction increases settlement risk, CoreLogic, published May 16, 2016<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp; In his column in\u00a0Switzer, John McGrath discusses the affordability\u00a0in the\u00a0Brisbane property market.\u00a0 Here&#8217;s what he had to say: South-East Queensland continues to offer outstanding opportunity for growth. \u00a0 However, a sluggish economy, political upheaval, low population growth and an impending apartment oversupply is delaying&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":176692471,"featured_media":7817,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[13,17,27],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9976","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-latest-story","category-property-investment","category-trends-topic"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Brisbane market affordable and resilient - John McGrath - Realty Talk<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/channels.realty.com.au\/realtytalk\/brisbane-market-affordable-and-resilient\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Brisbane market affordable and resilient - John McGrath - Realty Talk\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"&nbsp; In his column in\u00a0Switzer, John McGrath discusses the affordability\u00a0in the\u00a0Brisbane property market.\u00a0 Here&#8217;s what he had to say: South-East Queensland continues to offer outstanding opportunity for growth. \u00a0 However, a sluggish economy, political upheaval, low population growth and an impending apartment oversupply is delaying...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/channels.realty.com.au\/realtytalk\/brisbane-market-affordable-and-resilient\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Realty Talk\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2016-11-24T04:00:46+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"rolanrush\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"rolanrush\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/channels.realty.com.au\\\/realtytalk\\\/brisbane-market-affordable-and-resilient\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/channels.realty.com.au\\\/realtytalk\\\/brisbane-market-affordable-and-resilient\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"rolanrush\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/channels.realty.com.au\\\/realtytalk\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/384a57ac9e52cb9bf19896cb15eaa52d\"},\"headline\":\"Brisbane market affordable and resilient &#8211; 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