{"id":25269,"date":"2016-02-11T15:30:39","date_gmt":"2016-02-11T04:30:39","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/realestatetalk.com.au\/?p=7034"},"modified":"2016-02-11T15:30:39","modified_gmt":"2016-02-11T04:30:39","slug":"property-markets-state-of-play-john-mcgrath-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/channels.realty.com.au\/realtytalk\/property-markets-state-of-play-john-mcgrath-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Property markets state of play  |  John McGrath"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>In his weekly column for\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.switzer.com.au\/the-experts\/john-mcgrath-property-expert\/property-markets-state-of-play\/\">Switzer<\/a>, John McGrath addressed the ever changing face of the Australian Property Market.<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<h4>Here is his what he had to say:<\/h4>\n<p>There is no one singular Australian property market.<a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/realestatetalk.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/08\/mcgrath.jpg\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright size-full wp-image-1807\" alt=\"mcgrath\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/realestatetalk.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/08\/mcgrath.jpg?resize=150%2C143\" width=\"150\" height=\"143\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>There are indeed dozens of markets; and markets within those markets.<\/p>\n<p>But broadly speaking, you could certainly say we\u2019ve had a two-speed marketplace with the\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/propertyupdate.com.au\/sydney-property-market\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Sydney\u00a0<\/a>and\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/propertyupdate.com.au\/melbourne-property-market\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Melbourne\u00a0property market<\/a>\u00a0leading the way and now at the tail end of their growth cycles, while the balance of capital cities are yet to begin theirs.<\/p>\n<h4>Here\u2019s the state of play nationwide.<\/h4>\n<p>New stats from RP Data for the 12 months ending January 31 show the following price growth (or decline) patterns across the capitals.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Melbourne<\/strong>\u00a0\u2013 houses up 11.6%, apartments up 5.4%<\/p>\n<p><strong>Sydney\u00a0<\/strong>\u2013 houses up 10.7%, apartments up 9.6%\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/realestatetalk.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/07\/Lindex-Statistics.jpg\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright size-medium wp-image-1699\" alt=\"Lindex-Statistics\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/realestatetalk.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/07\/Lindex-Statistics-300x225.jpg?resize=300%2C225\" width=\"300\" height=\"225\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>Brisbane\/Gold Coast\u00a0<\/strong>\u2013 houses up 3.4%, apartments up 3.9%<\/p>\n<p><strong>Adelaide<\/strong>\u00a0\u2013 houses up 1.5%, apartments down -3.9%<\/p>\n<p><strong>Perth<\/strong>\u00a0\u2013 houses down -4.4%, apartments down -0.4%<\/p>\n<p><strong>Canberra<\/strong>\u00a0\u2013 houses up 6.7%, apartments down -3.3%<\/p>\n<p><strong>Hobart<\/strong>\u00a0\u2013 houses up 1.4%, apartments up 13.2%<\/p>\n<p><strong>Darwin<\/strong>\u00a0\u2013 houses down -3.2%, apartments up 0.7%<\/p>\n<p>We have forecast for some time now that South-East Queensland will experience the strongest capital growth over the next few years but I expect almost all of Australia will show growth this year.<\/p>\n<p>I think we will see a steady marketplace with a good balance between buyers and sellers in the big cities.<\/p>\n<p>At worst, we might see a minor short term correction in Sydney as the market recalibrates after several years of phenomenal growth, but I also think there&#8217;s equal chance we could see a few more percentage point rises in median values.<\/p>\n<p>January has shown us that there is very little reduction in owner-occupier demand across most price ranges, with strong interest at inspections and early new year buying at solid levels.<\/p>\n<p>Most of our offices at McGrath had much stronger results this January compared with January 2015, which suggests the market has depth.<\/p>\n<p>The latest official figures from the Bureau of Statistics show housing finance rose by 1.8% to $33.3 billion in November 2015 and this was largely driven by new or refinanced owner occupier mortgages ($21.8 billion).<\/p>\n<p>The value of loans to upgraders or downsizers was greater than for investors ($11.5 billion), which was a significant but expected change following the introduction of tighter lending criteria for investment finance.<\/p>\n<p>In terms of Sydney and Melbourne market performance this year, early indicators are that buying demand is still strong.<\/p>\n<h4>It would not have been healthy for these cities to continue at the pace they were going.<\/h4>\n<p>Although there was no bubble, Sydney in particular got to a point where sales were extraordinarily high, often 25%-50% above expectations.<\/p>\n<p>I think it&#8217;s these types of extraordinary results that will taper off and be replaced by a more predictable set of outcomes in 2016.<\/p>\n<p>Buyers have had a tough few years getting into the Sydney market but I believe they now have a great opportunity to secure the right property before the market moves upwards again.<\/p>\n<h4>At the end of booms, buyers can get a bit obsessed with timing.<\/h4>\n<p>They often hold off believing (or rather, hoping) prices will fall and this delays their purchase.<\/p>\n<p>I\u2019ve been in the game for 32 years and believe me,\u00a0time in the market\u00a0is much more important than\u00a0timing the market<em>\u00a0<\/em>when you buy.<\/p>\n<p>Buying the best property you can afford, when you can afford it; and holding it for the long term is always the best play.<\/p>\n<p>Keep it simple.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In his weekly column for\u00a0Switzer, John McGrath addressed the ever changing face of the Australian Property Market. Here is his what he had to say: There is no one singular Australian property market. There are indeed dozens of markets; and markets within those markets. But&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":176692473,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[13,36,17,28],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-25269","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-latest-story","category-property-investment-topic","category-property-investment","category-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Property markets state of play | John McGrath - Realty Talk<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/channels.realty.com.au\/realtytalk\/property-markets-state-of-play-john-mcgrath-2\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Property markets state of play | John McGrath - Realty Talk\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"In his weekly column for\u00a0Switzer, John McGrath addressed the ever changing face of the Australian Property Market. 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