{"id":12963,"date":"2017-07-30T16:51:00","date_gmt":"2017-07-30T06:51:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/realestatetalk.com.au\/?p=12963"},"modified":"2017-07-30T16:51:00","modified_gmt":"2017-07-30T06:51:00","slug":"property-investors-need-to-think-differently","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/channels.realty.com.au\/realtytalk\/property-investors-need-to-think-differently\/","title":{"rendered":"Property Investors Need To Think Differently"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>More than any other person in the world, I would have loved to have spent a few hours one-on-one with Apple founder, the late Steve Jobs. I\u2019ve read his book, I\u2019ve seen You Tube clips of him presenting, and I\u2019m forever grateful for the extra conveniences in my world because of Apple\u2019s technology. I\u2019m fascinated by how Jobs\u2019 mind worked. Jobs refused to follow conventional wisdom; it was his nature to constantly challenge the status quo.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/realestatetalk.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/Property-Investors-Need-To-Think-Differently.jpg\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-12965 alignright\" alt=\"Property Investors Need To Think Differently\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/realestatetalk.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/Property-Investors-Need-To-Think-Differently.jpg?resize=324%2C852\" width=\"324\" height=\"852\" \/><\/a><br \/>\nWithout people like Jobs who constantly think differently the world would never evolve. We\u2019d all keep doing the same things &#8211; because that\u2019s what everyone else does &#8211; and never question why. That\u2019s what property investors do, too. From the creature-of-habit investor whose imagination can\u2019t extend beyond their home town to the person who is genuinely trying to broaden their horizon but still ends up bowing to whatever the \u2018consensus of the masses\u2019 is at the time, there\u2019s not a lot of creative thinking involved.<br \/>\nI\u2019ve spent a reasonable chunk of my working life studying property market history and it has taught me there\u2019s a lot of value in challenging the status quo. Most of the commonly accepted property theories aren\u2019t supported by historical evidence. Probably the best example is assuming that highest population growth equals highest price growth &#8211; wrong! The best performed property markets over the course of time were in locations that most investors wouldn\u2019t ever consider &#8211; fact!<br \/>\nThis graphic summarises the main factors which influence property markets.<br \/>\nThe most valuable research project that I\u2019ve ever been part of involved calculating the historical performance of the property markets of every single one of the 550 local government authorities (LGA) in Australia over the last fifteen years (effectively, two full property cycles). This massive project took Propertyology\u2019s research team several weeks. After then ranking each of the 550 LGA\u2019s from best to worst performed, I was amazed by the order. For example, Narrabri was ranked 50<sup>th<\/sup> out of 550 LGA\u2019s while desirable (but expensive) Bondi was 362<sup>nd<\/sup>. And, Ararat (population growth of zero) was streets ahead of Wyndham (population growth 3 x the national average).<br \/>\nStage 2 of our project involved identifying some common characteristics amongst the better performed markets and the not-so-well-performed markets since the turn of the century. Our findings from this project has shaped the way in which Propertyology selects locations for future investment; <b><i>we are constantly scouring Australia looking for towns and cities which have these three (3) characteristics<\/i><\/b>:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Affordability &#8211; median property values are below $550,000;<\/li>\n<li>Future economic development &#8211; job creation, confidence, potential for salary growth;<\/li>\n<li>Supply &#8211; A history of controlled housing supply and no suggestion of change.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>On the basis of <b><i>total return<\/i><\/b> (average annual capital growth <i>plus<\/i> rental yield), an incredibly large majority of the best performed markets throughout Australia since the turn of the century were regional locations. Some may question this but we have analysed the evidence.<br \/>\nPersonally, I invest in (both) capital cities and regions! But, I won&#8217;t shy away from the fact that I favour more regional markets right now than capital cities. Lots more!<br \/>\nSome will say there are regional locations which represent high risk. In some cases that is true. But, those who are prepared to challenge the status quo will understand that there are also dozens of regional locations which have comparable risk to most capital cities and better potential for return on investment. Australia\u2019s big regional cities with profiles which resemble a smaller version of a capital city include Albury, Armidale, Ballarat, Bendigo, Bunbury, Burnie, Cairns, Coffs Harbour, Devonport, Dubbo, Geraldton, Geelong, Gladstone, Gold Coast, Gosford, Launceston, Mackay, Maitland, Newcastle, Orange, Rockhampton, Tamworth, Toowoomba, Townsville, and Wagga Wagga. Investors would also be wise to not underestimate the potential from dozens of other towns which are in close proximity to larger cities.<br \/>\nOne of the most important considerations for property investors when evaluating the potential risk to a market is the cost of a typical property. The higher it is the further it can fall. Imagine the potential impact on a market where the typical property costs $800,000 to $1,000,000, the typical mortgage is seventy to eighty per cent of that, and interest rates rising by one to two per cent. What do you think the typical mortgage balance is in a location where a standard meat-and-potatoes property costs between $250,000 and $450,000?<br \/>\nFor me, investing is about making informed decisions using real research (not perception) to try to take advantage of opportunities while mitigating and balancing risk. To get that right balance, my own investment strategy is not that dissimilar to an astute share investor. Rather than sink 100% of my investment capital in to one or two expensive assets which fewer people can afford to buy, I prefer to carve up my capital and spread it across more markets, in assets which more people can afford, and with more sources of rental income. I maintain balance within my portfolio by strategically selecting locations in different states and through towns and cities which each have different industries that drive their economy.<br \/>\nWhether aware of it or not, most property investors are lured in to making investment decisions under the influence of their own personal household preferences. The thing is, whether we personally would live in Kograh, Kingston or Katherine is as subjective as selecting T-bone, trout, or tofu from the restaurant menu; it\u2019s not relevant. The facts are that thirty-five per cent (8.2 million people) of Australia\u2019s total population reside in 3.1 million dwellings across regional Australia.<br \/>\nMuch of regional Australia is in that \u2018affordability\u2019 box which our big research project determined to be a common denominator amongst the best performers over the longer term. Tick! Certain strategically-chosen regional locations will benefit significantly from economic development as a result of the role that they\u2019ll play in the Asian Century. Tick tick!<br \/>\nAs for controlled housing supply, history has taught us a lot there, too. Many of Australia\u2019s big cities have larger proportions of their workforce in the construction industry. For a few years now, Propertyology has grown increasingly concerned about the record levels of new supply building up in housing supply pipelines. Official data confirms that 335,186 out of 412,667 new dwellings approved (81.2%) during 2014 and 2015 were in capital cities. Don\u2019t expect spectacular growth; in fact, many will produce price falls!<br \/>\nSome people forget that the Sydney market flat-lined for six long years while many parts of Australia, especially regional Australia, sustained a long period of strong growth. Even as recently as 2011, the Sydney market declined (albeit small) and followed up with zero growth in 2012. Most properties in Brisbane declined by fifteen per cent between 2011 and 2012. Perth and Darwin are declining right now and Propertyology forecast that both have a bit further to fall. Melbourne and Adelaide both have economic head-winds to overcome with significant job losses to come from car manufacturing plant closures.<br \/>\nUnfortunately, a significant proportion of property investors, and those who commentate on property markets, can&#8217;t see past Australia\u2019s three or four biggest cities \u2013 less than twenty per cent of all LGA\u2019s in Australia. Good decisions start with reviewing 100% of our choices; that means the fundamentals of the 411 LGAs located in regional Australia as well as the 139 LGAs that make up our eight capital cities! Think differently; it worked for people like Steve Jobs!<br \/>\n<b><i>Simon Pressley is Managing Director of Propertyology, a REIA Hall Of Fame Inductee, property market analyst, accredited property investment adviser, and Buyer\u2019s Agent. <\/i><\/b><a href=\"http:\/\/www.propertyology.com.au\/more-than-a-buyers-agent\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><b><i>Propertyology works exclusively with property investors<\/i><\/b><\/a><b><i> to purchase properties in strategically chosen locations all over Australia.<\/i><\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>More than any other person in the world, I would have loved to have spent a few hours one-on-one with Apple founder, the late Steve Jobs. I\u2019ve read his book, I\u2019ve seen You Tube clips of him presenting, and I\u2019m forever grateful for the extra&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":176692471,"featured_media":12973,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[13,20],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-12963","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-latest-story","category-propertyology"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Property Investors Need To Think Differently - Realty Talk<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/channels.realty.com.au\/realtytalk\/property-investors-need-to-think-differently\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Property Investors Need To Think Differently - Realty Talk\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"More than any other person in the world, I would have loved to have spent a few hours one-on-one with Apple founder, the late Steve Jobs. I\u2019ve read his book, I\u2019ve seen You Tube clips of him presenting, and I\u2019m forever grateful for the extra...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/channels.realty.com.au\/realtytalk\/property-investors-need-to-think-differently\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Realty Talk\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2017-07-30T06:51:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"rolanrush\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"rolanrush\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"6 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/channels.realty.com.au\\\/realtytalk\\\/property-investors-need-to-think-differently\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/channels.realty.com.au\\\/realtytalk\\\/property-investors-need-to-think-differently\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"rolanrush\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/channels.realty.com.au\\\/realtytalk\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/384a57ac9e52cb9bf19896cb15eaa52d\"},\"headline\":\"Property Investors Need To Think Differently\",\"datePublished\":\"2017-07-30T06:51:00+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/channels.realty.com.au\\\/realtytalk\\\/property-investors-need-to-think-differently\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":1280,\"commentCount\":0,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/channels.realty.com.au\\\/realtytalk\\\/property-investors-need-to-think-differently\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"\",\"articleSection\":[\"Latest Stories\",\"Propertyology\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/channels.realty.com.au\\\/realtytalk\\\/property-investors-need-to-think-differently\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/channels.realty.com.au\\\/realtytalk\\\/property-investors-need-to-think-differently\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/channels.realty.com.au\\\/realtytalk\\\/property-investors-need-to-think-differently\\\/\",\"name\":\"Property Investors Need To Think Differently - Realty Talk\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/channels.realty.com.au\\\/realtytalk\\\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/channels.realty.com.au\\\/realtytalk\\\/property-investors-need-to-think-differently\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/channels.realty.com.au\\\/realtytalk\\\/property-investors-need-to-think-differently\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"\",\"datePublished\":\"2017-07-30T06:51:00+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/channels.realty.com.au\\\/realtytalk\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/384a57ac9e52cb9bf19896cb15eaa52d\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/channels.realty.com.au\\\/realtytalk\\\/property-investors-need-to-think-differently\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/channels.realty.com.au\\\/realtytalk\\\/property-investors-need-to-think-differently\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/channels.realty.com.au\\\/realtytalk\\\/property-investors-need-to-think-differently\\\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"\",\"contentUrl\":\"\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/channels.realty.com.au\\\/realtytalk\\\/property-investors-need-to-think-differently\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/channels.realty.com.au\\\/realtytalk\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Property Investors Need To Think Differently\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/channels.realty.com.au\\\/realtytalk\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/channels.realty.com.au\\\/realtytalk\\\/\",\"name\":\"Realty Talk\",\"description\":\"Your Trusted Voice For Property Investing. 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