{"id":12842,"date":"2017-07-24T03:00:35","date_gmt":"2017-07-23T17:00:35","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/realestatetalk.com.au\/?p=12842"},"modified":"2017-07-24T03:00:35","modified_gmt":"2017-07-23T17:00:35","slug":"the-property-pulse-with-ian-rodrigues","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/channels.realty.com.au\/realtytalk\/the-property-pulse-with-ian-rodrigues\/","title":{"rendered":"The property pulse with Ian Rodrigues"},"content":{"rendered":"

In this show I ask Ian Rodrigues<\/strong> whose company specializes in\u00a0taxation, business and financial Services as well as wealth management, how he believes Australia is travelling economically on the world stage, what the indicators are on Australia\u2019s economical well-being and what impact be believes the Government pressure on foreign buyers will have on the property market<\/p>\n

Transcript:<\/b><\/h2>\n

Kevin:<\/b>\u00a0 I want to introduce you to a new guest. He\u2019s going to be a regular to the show, too. Ian Rodrigues is a director of Bishop Collins Group. He\u2019s a chartered accountant specialized in taxation and superannuation.
\nBy way of introduction, Bishop Collins Group are experts in taxation, business and financial services, as well as wealth management, and in fact, on behalf of investors manage somewhere between $70 and $80 million worth of property.
\nIan, welcome to the show. I look forward to your contribution.
\nIan:<\/b>\u00a0 Thanks, Kevin. It\u2019s good to be here with the listeners, too.
\nKevin:<\/b>\u00a0 I want to ask you the first question. It\u2019s bit of an overreaching question, I guess, about your view on how Australia is traveling economically on the world stage right now.
\nIan:<\/b>\u00a0 Yes, Kevin, I think for a lot of the listeners \u2013 and ourselves \u2013 there\u2019s so much information out there that we\u2019re bombarded with on an hourly, if not daily, basis about the economy, and so much information, much of it conflicting. Many, many views from economists.
\nThere was always a good old joke, back in the university days, about economists, about assuming things and all that. A lot of those predictions are sometimes based on very academic or difficult models. Predicting simple things, like what will happen with rates or exchange rates, there\u2019s a range of views about all of that.
\nSo, whenever I\u2019m looking at the Australian economy, I strip it right back to the really, really basic stuff when we\u2019re looking at an economy. There are some very basic leading indicators and the metrics that you look at that pretty quickly tell you what sort of shape the economy is in.
\nKevin:<\/b>\u00a0 What are the indicators that you look for to measure the Australian economy and how well we\u2019re going?
\nIan:<\/b>\u00a0 The key one that I\u2019m always watching is business confidence. There are a couple of surveys of business confidence. And that\u2019s a leading indicator, because it\u2019s telling you where the economy is likely to be in the future.
\nOur politicians know deep down that to get an economy moving, you can\u2019t just tax it more and you can\u2019t just talk it up. You can\u2019t do those things. Businesspeople have to be making investment decisions, and they will only make that when they\u2019re feeling confident.
\nNow, when you keep changing the rules or threatening to change the rules\u2026 The point I\u2019ve made even about simple things like negative gearing, we\u2019ve had so much oxygen wasted on what the changes should or could be and all of that. But there hasn\u2019t actually been a change to negative gearing for a very, very long time, but it makes people very nervous about making investment decisions because of the uncertainty.
\nThe same thing applies to business. If you keep changing the rules and creating uncertainty, businesspeople will sit back and wait until they\u2019re confident to make big investment decisions \u2013 buying capital things, employing more staff. And when they do those things, when businesspeople make decisions, it\u2019s what drives the economy.
\nKevin:<\/b>\u00a0 Just your view now on the likely impact of what\u2019s happening overseas, with America and the machinations\u00a0<\/b>there with China and so on. How much of an impact do you think that will have on Australia and our economy?
\nIan:<\/b>\u00a0 I think it all does have an impact. It\u2019s probably very hard to measure very directly how much that is. But I think, again, it\u2019s one of those confidence things. Whether you have particular world leaders in place and whether they\u2019re pushing us down dangerous paths and all that comes into the equation, but it\u2019s probably been the case for many, many years that that\u2019s always going on. There are always those risks.
\nOne of the things we have in our office is a chart with the economy and where it\u2019s been over the last 30 or 40 years, and it has little dots on it for every crisis that\u2019s come up over the last 30 or 40 years. These are just another dot in the history, and you see markets react to those things, and then they recover from those things.
\nNow, albeit that\u2019s much more about the share market, that particular graph, but property markets work in similar ways.
\nKevin:<\/b>\u00a0 Talking about the property market for a moment, just to close off our conversation this time, Ian, what impact do you think the government\u2019s pressure on foreign buyers will have on the property market?
\nIan:<\/b>\u00a0 I think the government is trying to do some things to impact the property market, and I think they\u2019re also working out that it is very hard to control markets. There\u2019s a very good argument for why markets should be a little bit free and a little bit left alone, but I do understand why they would want to control foreign investment. There\u2019s a whole range of reasons for that. I think the things that they\u2019ve announced and that they\u2019re thinking of doing might end up having quite a limited or less than the impact they\u2019re expecting.
\nBut I do think the thing that is having the biggest impact on the property market at the moment is the banks and their position with increasing rates of interest to investors in a number of different ways. It\u2019s been driven by market forces and regulation, as well. I think that\u2019s actually the single thing that is happening that\u2019s probably impacting markets the most at the moment.
\nKevin:<\/b>\u00a0 I look forward to your contribution to the shows in the future. Ian, thank you for joining us. Ian is the director of Bishop Collins Group. They are chartered accountants specializing in taxation and superannuation.
\nIan, thanks for your time.
\nIan:<\/b>\u00a0 Great to be here. Thanks, Kevin.
\n 
\n <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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