{"id":11909,"date":"2017-05-25T17:00:27","date_gmt":"2017-05-25T07:00:27","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/realestatetalk.com.au\/?p=11909"},"modified":"2017-05-25T17:00:27","modified_gmt":"2017-05-25T07:00:27","slug":"are-sydney-and-melbourne-at-their-peak","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/channels.realty.com.au\/realtytalk\/are-sydney-and-melbourne-at-their-peak\/","title":{"rendered":"Are Sydney and Melbourne at their peak?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>In his column for\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.switzer.com.au\/the-experts\/john-mcgrath-property-expert\/20170511-how-the-federal-budget-will-impact-property\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Switzer<\/a>, John McGrath\u00a0discusses the Melbourne and\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/propertyupdate.com.au\/sydney-property-market\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Sydney property\u00a0market<\/a>.\u00a0<\/strong><br \/>\nA lack of stock for sale in both Sydney and Melbourne has substantially contributed to a prolonging of the current boom.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/realestatetalk.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/08\/mcgrath.jpg\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright size-full wp-image-1807\" alt=\"mcgrath\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/realestatetalk.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/08\/mcgrath.jpg?resize=150%2C143\" width=\"150\" height=\"143\" \/><\/a><br \/>\nOver the past 12 months, there\u2019s been plenty of buyers in the market but not nearly enough homes for sale to meet that demand.<br \/>\nWhen this happens, prices inevitably increase.<br \/>\n<strong>The current boom is in its fifth year and that is an unusually long period for high-price growth.<\/strong><br \/>\nWhat needs to change is a reduction in demand or an increase in supply \u2013 or both \u2013 to bring these markets back to normal selling conditions and normal patterns of annual capital gains.<br \/>\nSo, it\u2019s interesting to see some new figures from CoreLogic, which show that supply of established housing stock available for sale in Sydney and Melbourne is at its highest level for this time of year since 2012.<br \/>\nWe\u2019re not seeing a flood of new listings coming onto the market, but rather the increase in supply is due to a slower rate of sales.<\/p>\n<h4>Or in other words, a slight softening in demand.<\/h4>\n<p>This is often the first sign that a booming market has turned. \u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/realestatetalk.com.au.s3.amazonaws.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/04\/rsz_tax_house_15_04.jpg\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright  wp-image-11291\" alt=\"rsz_tax_house_15_04\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/realestatetalk.com.au.s3.amazonaws.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/04\/rsz_tax_house_15_04-300x220.jpg?resize=240%2C176\" width=\"240\" height=\"176\" \/><\/a><br \/>\nDemand softens because prices get to such a high point after a long period of growth that buyers start giving up and exiting the market.<br \/>\nIt\u2019s not uncommon now to hear about would-be upgrader buyers choosing to stay put and renovate or extend their current homes because they feel that trading up is just too difficult.<br \/>\nFirst home buyer activity remains very low and we might see some evidence of a reduction in investor activity soon due to further lending restrictions imposed by APRA recently.<\/p>\n<h4>All of this adds up to lower demand.<\/h4>\n<p>Whether this new data from CoreLogic indicates a turn of the cycle or a blip, we don\u2019t yet know.<br \/>\nMy feeling is that both Sydney and Melbourne are at, or around, their peak for this cycle and we\u2019re certainly overdue for a period of price consolidation, which I continue to believe is a healthy sign for the market.<br \/>\nVendors are still in the driver\u2019s seat but this won\u2019t last forever, especially if demand is on the way down.<br \/>\nIf you\u2019ve held your property for a long time and would like to fully capitalise on this boom, I\u2019d say now is the time to sell.<\/p>\n<h4>A change in conditions is just around the corner.<\/h4>\n<p>Don\u2019t fall for the myth that Winter is a bad time to sell.<br \/>\nTalk to your local agent and consider your options now.<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright\" alt=\"professional-meeting-solicitor-agent-help-office-300x199\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/puassets.s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/professional-meeting-solicitor-agent-help-office-300x199-300x180.jpg?resize=300%2C180\" width=\"300\" height=\"180\" \/><br \/>\nAs we all know, properties typically sell faster and for higher prices when demand outweighs supply.<br \/>\nCoreLogic released another report recently that lists the fastest selling suburbs in every state for the 12 months to January.<br \/>\nOf course, NSW and VIC have the most impressive results, but it is interesting to note how quickly properties are selling in some areas that are not in booming capital cities.<\/p>\n<h4>Fastest selling suburbs in each state<\/h4>\n<p><strong>NSW \u2013 Houses<\/strong><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Lapstone: 9 days<\/li>\n<li>Mayfield East: 10 days<\/li>\n<li>North Gosford: 10 days<\/li>\n<li>Valley Heights: 11 days<\/li>\n<li>Glossodia: 12 days<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><strong>NSW \u2013 Apartments<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright\" alt=\"sydney property market\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/sydney-300x182.jpg?resize=300%2C182\" width=\"300\" height=\"182\" \/><\/strong><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>South Penrith: 7 days<\/li>\n<li>Wyoming: 7 days<\/li>\n<li>Lisarow: 10 days<\/li>\n<li>Camden: 12 days<\/li>\n<li>West Gosford: 13 days<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><strong>VIC \u2013 Houses<\/strong><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Tooradin: 8 days<\/li>\n<li>Wandin North: 9 days<\/li>\n<li>Diggers Rest: 10 days<\/li>\n<li>Carrum Downs: 10 days<\/li>\n<li>Frankston North: 10 days<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><strong>VIC \u2013 Apartments<\/strong><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Endeavour Hills: 9 days<\/li>\n<li>Mooroolbark: 13 days<\/li>\n<li>Bayswater: 14 days<\/li>\n<li>Lilydale: 15 days<\/li>\n<li>Bayswater: North 16 days<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><strong>QLD \u2013 Houses<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright\" alt=\"Brisbane\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/puassets.s3.amazonaws.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/brisbane-300x156.jpg?resize=300%2C156\" width=\"300\" height=\"156\" \/><\/strong><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Keperra: 10 days<\/li>\n<li>Algester: 13 days<\/li>\n<li>Willowbank: 13 days<\/li>\n<li>Middle Park: 14 days<\/li>\n<li>Ferny Grove: 15 days<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><strong>QLD \u2013 Apartments<\/strong><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Oxley: 15 days<\/li>\n<li>Elanora: 20 days<\/li>\n<li>Reedy Creek: 21 days<\/li>\n<li>Hendra: 22 days<\/li>\n<li>Carina Heights: 22 days<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><strong>SA \u2013 Houses<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright\" alt=\"ultimate_adelaide_tour_big_0\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/ultimate_adelaide_tour_big_02-300x181.jpg?resize=300%2C181\" width=\"300\" height=\"181\" \/><\/strong><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Melrose Park: 25 days<\/li>\n<li>Rosewater: 25 days<\/li>\n<li>Edwardstown: 28 days<\/li>\n<li>Tranmere: 28 days<\/li>\n<li>Surrey Downs: 29 days<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><strong>SA \u2013 Apartments<\/strong><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Firle: 14 days<\/li>\n<li>Rose Park: 20 days<\/li>\n<li>Greenwich: 23 days<\/li>\n<li>Frewville: 25 days<\/li>\n<li>Collinswood: 28 days<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><strong>WA \u2013 Houses<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright\" alt=\"western-australia-1413166_1920-300x200\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/puassets.s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/western-australia-1413166_1920-300x2001.jpg?resize=299%2C173\" width=\"299\" height=\"173\" \/><\/strong><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Daglish: 14 days<\/li>\n<li>Menora: 18 days<\/li>\n<li>Subiaco: 19 days<\/li>\n<li>Floreat: 22 days<\/li>\n<li>Shenton Park: 23 days<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><strong>WA \u2013 Apartments<\/strong><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>North Beach: 29 days<\/li>\n<li>Mount Pleasant: 32 days<\/li>\n<li>Palmyra: 33 days<\/li>\n<li>Shenton Park: 33 days<\/li>\n<li>Queens Park: 36 days<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><strong>TAS \u2013 Houses \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright\" alt=\"hobart-710826_1920-300x200\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/puassets.s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/hobart-710826_1920-300x2001.jpg?resize=297%2C173\" width=\"297\" height=\"173\" \/><\/strong><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Montagu Bay: 5 days<\/li>\n<li>Mount Stuart: 6 days<\/li>\n<li>Moonah: 8 days<\/li>\n<li>Warrane: 8 days<\/li>\n<li>South Hobart: 9 days<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><strong>TAS \u2013 Apartments<\/strong><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>South Hobart: 10 days<\/li>\n<li>West Hobart: 11 days<\/li>\n<li>Battery Point: 12 days<\/li>\n<li>Youngtown: 12 days<\/li>\n<li>Dynnyrne: 13 days<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><strong>NT \u2013 Houses<\/strong><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>The Gap: 41 days<\/li>\n<li>Tiwi: 49 days<\/li>\n<li>Desert Springs: 49 days<\/li>\n<li>Girraween: 56 days<\/li>\n<li>Braitling: 58 days<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><strong>NT \u2013 Apartments<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright\" alt=\"olgas-1076315_1920\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/puassets.s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/olgas-1076315_1920-300x180.jpg?resize=300%2C180\" width=\"300\" height=\"180\" \/><\/strong><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Leanyer: 58 days<\/li>\n<li>The Gap: 64 days<\/li>\n<li>Woolner: 66 days<\/li>\n<li>Fannie Bay: 80 days<\/li>\n<li>Rapid Creek: 83 days<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><strong>ACT \u2013 Houses<\/strong><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Ainslie: 16 days<\/li>\n<li>Dickson: 21 days<\/li>\n<li>Higgins: 23 days<\/li>\n<li>Downer: 25 days<\/li>\n<li>Hackett: 25 days<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><strong>ACT \u2013 Apartments<\/strong><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Theodore: 29 days<\/li>\n<li>Calwell: 30 days<\/li>\n<li>Isabella Plains: 37 days<\/li>\n<li>Page: 37 days<\/li>\n<li>Garran: 37 days<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><em>Source: CoreLogic, \u2018Top 10 Fastest Selling Suburbs in Each State\u2019, published 1\/5\/17. Above figures show the shortest median selling time for houses and apartments over the 12 months to January 2017<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In his column for\u00a0Switzer, John McGrath\u00a0discusses the Melbourne and\u00a0Sydney property\u00a0market.\u00a0 A lack of stock for sale in both Sydney and Melbourne has substantially contributed to a prolonging of the current boom.\u00a0 Over the past 12 months, there\u2019s been plenty of buyers in the market but&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":176692471,"featured_media":11805,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11909","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-latest-story"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Are Sydney and Melbourne at their peak? 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